Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002624 0.002798 0.002985 0.003202 0.003451 0.003727 0.004061
2025-01-19 0.002363 0.002600 0.002869 0.003205 0.003619 0.004125 0.004806
2025-01-26 0.002082 0.002330 0.002622 0.003000 0.003490 0.004124 0.005049
2025-02-02 0.001974 0.002246 0.002578 0.003026 0.003636 0.004482 0.005836
2025-02-09 0.001917 0.002215 0.002591 0.003117 0.003874 0.005002 0.007016
2025-02-16 0.001841 0.002152 0.002552 0.003130 0.003998 0.005371 0.008080
2025-02-23 0.001811 0.002143 0.002582 0.003239 0.004276 0.006047 0.010059
2025-03-02 0.001733 0.002066 0.002512 0.003192 0.004299 0.006281 0.011217
2025-03-09 0.001653 0.001980 0.002423 0.003108 0.004248 0.006364 0.012052
2025-03-16 0.001626 0.001964 0.002431 0.003172 0.004455 0.007006 0.015053
2025-03-23 0.001597 0.001945 0.002432 0.003224 0.004648 0.007681 0.019171
2025-03-30 0.001549 0.001894 0.002383 0.003190 0.004675 0.007985 0.022343
2025-04-06 0.001481 0.001816 0.002294 0.003090 0.004578 0.007994 0.024375
2025-04-13 0.001440 0.001776 0.002261 0.003082 0.004663 0.008522 0.031807
2025-04-20 0.001357 0.001671 0.002124 0.002887 0.004349 0.007868 0.027968
2025-04-27 0.001332 0.001650 0.002113 0.002910 0.004486 0.008549 0.040143
2025-05-04 0.001323 0.001652 0.002137 0.002995 0.004769 0.009834 0.087331
2025-05-11 0.001298 0.001629 0.002122 0.003007 0.004894 0.010686 0.233230
2025-05-18 0.001294 0.001635 0.002154 0.003109 0.005249 0.012734 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001261 0.001597 0.002111 0.003065 0.005239 0.013208 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001223 0.001550 0.002052 0.002987 0.005133 0.013156 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001213 0.001547 0.002063 0.003046 0.005394 0.015309 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001202 0.001540 0.002069 0.003095 0.005639 0.017836 NaN